Publish your first prediction
Publishing is quick. What it does is permanent — so this walkthrough spends less time on the buttons and more on the one thing that matters: the moment you seal a call, it is on your record forever. Read to the end before you publish your first one.
Fill in the call
The publish form is short. Each field is a piece of the anatomy of a prediction:
- Asset — the coin you're calling, e.g.
BTC. Today the topic is crypto; see what you can predict on. - Direction — up or down over your time frame.
- Confidence — from 50% to 99%. This is a stake, not a mood: it scales both your reward when you're right and your penalty when you're wrong. Set it to what you actually believe — see Confidence is a stake.
- Time frame — one of five fixed lengths: 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year. They are fixed so predictions are comparable across forecasters.
- Target price (optional) — a precise level you expect the asset to reach. A target is a sharper claim with different risk — read Directional vs target-price before you use one.
- Rationale (optional) — a short justification, sealed alongside the rest.
One quiet rule to know up front: you can hold one open prediction per asset at a time. Your profile is meant to be a record of distinct calls, not the same call repeated.
Two steps: review, then seal
Publishing is deliberately two steps. First you fill in the call and hit review. Then a separate screen shows you a recap of the exact call about to be sealed, and only there do you confirm.
That second screen is a checkpoint on purpose. The seal is irreversible, so it should be a decision you make looking at the whole call, not something that happens as a side effect of typing.
No live nudging — by design. While you set your confidence, aiternam will not whisper "you should lower this" or show you what the scoring engine thinks of your call. That silence is intentional: your forecast has to be yours, formed independently, not steered by the house. The system judges your call after it resolves — never before you commit it.
The moment you confirm
When you press seal, the platform stops being your editor and becomes your notary. In that instant it captures and locks, all at once:
- the entry price — the asset's spot price right then, which becomes the baseline your call is measured from;
- a fingerprint (
content_hash) over everything you committed; - a trusted timestamp — the proof you called it before the outcome.
You then land on a sealed receipt that shows the exact entry price, fingerprint, and timestamp that were captured. Notice that the precise sealed entry price is revealed here — after you committed, not before. You can't fish for a friendlier entry by watching the tape; you commit to the call, and the price is sealed at that instant.
There is no undo
Say it plainly, before you learn it the hard way: a sealed prediction cannot be edited or deleted. Not by you, not by us. If it turns out wrong, it stays on your record, wrong. When it resolves, the outcome is added to it — your forecast itself is never touched (see How a prediction resolves).
This is not a limitation to work around; it is the product. A track record only means something because the misses are as permanent as the hits — nobody can quietly garden their history. That's what makes yours worth trusting. See Sealed in time for exactly what permanence buys you.
So before you confirm your first call: mean it. Then publish it, and let the record start.