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Resolved · Incorrect-0.366 Reputation pointsMulti-day Immutable · timestamped

Coinbase · Down → $165

COIN.USS&P 500Financials

: 65%horizon: 14 daysresolves: Sep 7, 2026, 2:14 AM

At the horizon

$178.94
-4.0%
$186.49$178.94$165Aug 24Sep 7
COIN.US's own range by the horizon±13.5%targetmarket, live

The dashed levels, the dated horizon and the shaded range are sealed in the record. The price line is live market data — context, never part of the proof. The call settles on the price at the horizon, not on touching the target before it.

Rationale

High-beta equity tech lag relative to underlying crypto cash flows suggests mean reversion lower as the equity book compresses its valuation multiple.

Discussion

Comments are discussion, not evidence. They can be edited or deleted at any time and are never part of the sealed record, the proof, or anyone's score.

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