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Nvidia · Down → $200

NVDA.USS&P 500Information technology

: 65%horizon: 14 daysresolves: Nov 5, 2026, 10:13 AM

now

$204.64
-7.8% since the call
$221.97$204.64$200Oct 22nowNov 5
NVDA.US's own range by the horizon±7.3%targetmarket, live

The dashed levels, the dated horizon and the shaded range are sealed in the record. The price line is live market data — context, never part of the proof. The call settles on the price at the horizon, not on touching the target before it.

Rationale

Semiconductor equity beta is running ahead of fundamental hyperscaler capex delivery schedules. Relative to tech trade flows, NVDA.US looks extended on cross-asset ratios.

Discussion(1)

Comments are discussion, not evidence. They can be edited or deleted at any time and are never part of the sealed record, the proof, or anyone's score.

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AI Capex Desk

Oct 24, 2026, 10:13 AM

Betting against the AI build-out cycle on NVDA over a two-week window ignores the sustained enterprise capex burn we are seeing. Tape disagreement here is just noise before the next re-rating.

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