Forecasting record
sdoe
Ranked #1 of 1 crypto multi-day forecasters (2 resolved)
demonstrated skill
Multi-dayRecent form
Skill measured above each asset's own drift — a permabull scores 0.
50.0% accuracy · 4 resolved · 1 streak
5 calls sealed 5 anchored to Bitcointimestamped & hashedmember since Jul 11, 2026
Verify a callOn the record now
Reputation trajectory
-1Cumulative skill across every resolved call — the shape of a track record over time. The rank is by mean skill, not this total, so volume alone can't climb it.
How they forecast
When they bet big
High conviction ≥75%
Measured <75%
Bar: accuracy delivered · tick: confidence claimed.
Calibration
Conviction staked vs accuracy delivered. On the diagonal = exactly as good as claimed.
Accuracy by horizon
Edge by time-to-resolution — above the 50% line is signal, below is noise.
Symbol by symbol
5 calls sealed across 4 symbols on the multi-day ledger — 2 of the 4 the engine judged cleared the bar.
Ordered by volume, never by result — a tally, not a ranking. There is no skill score per symbol on purpose: repeated calls on one asset are close to a single observation, so a number computed on one line would be noise. Void calls sit outside the ratio: the market stayed inside the asset's own range, so nothing was tested.
Reputation by topic
Recent predictions
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